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KOHLS Corp (KSS)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 (13 weeks ended Feb 1, 2025): Net sales fell 9.4% to $5.18B, comps -6.7%; total revenue $5.40B. GAAP EPS was $0.43; adjusted EPS $0.95 after excluding $76M of impairments/store closing/other costs; gross margin expanded 49 bps to 32.9% .
  • 2025 outlook set a cautious bar: net sales -5% to -7%, comps -4% to -6%, operating margin 2.2%–2.6%, EPS $0.10–$0.60; capex $400–$425M; quarterly dividend cut to $0.125 (from $0.50 in 2024), prioritizing balance sheet flexibility .
  • Operating drivers were mixed: Sephora beauty comps +13% and gross margin execution helped, but digital comps -13.4% (impacted by an online inventory suppression issue now corrected) and legacy home softness weighed on sales; stores comps -3.1% outperformed digital .
  • Restructuring: closure of 27 underperforming stores and one e-commerce fulfillment center (EFC) incurred $76M in charges; long-term debt reduced by $113M via redemption of 9.50% notes; Board declared the $0.125 dividend concurrent with results .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Gross margin execution: Q4 GM rate rose 49 bps YoY to 32.9% on optimized promotions and lower digital penetration; FY GM +50 bps to 37.2% .
  • Beauty momentum: Sephora at Kohl’s comps +13% in Q4, accelerating from Q3; management called the shop-in-shop a traffic driver with high-margin tailwinds .
  • Cost discipline: SG&A fell 4.5% YoY to $1.54B in Q4, with savings across stores, marketing, and supply chain; CFO also highlighted lower interest expense and continued expense optimization into 2025 .

Management quotes:

  • “We have identified key areas of focus and are taking action in 2025 to reposition Kohl’s for future success… I am confident that the areas we identified will deliver on what customers want and expect from Kohl’s.” – CEO Ashley Buchanan .
  • “Gross margin… [was] driven primarily by optimizing our promotional events as well as lower digital penetration.” – CFO Jill Timm .
  • “Sephora continued to be a strong sales driver… comparable beauty sales increasing 13%.” – CFO Jill Timm .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line pressure: Q4 net sales -9.4% (benefit last year from 14th week ~$164M), comps -6.7%; operating income margin fell 270 bps YoY to 2.3% .
  • Digital weakness: Digital comps -13.4% in Q4 on legacy home softness and a conversion headwind from an inventory suppression issue (since corrected) .
  • Credit revenue headwind: “Other revenue” declined $24M YoY in Q4 due to lower revolving credit balances and lower late fees; 2025 guidance also contemplates a decline in “other revenue” on accounting change and lower AR balances .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 FY2024 (13w to Aug 3, 2024)Q3 FY2024 (13w to Nov 2, 2024)Q4 FY2024 (13w to Feb 1, 2025)
Total Revenue ($MM)$3,732 $3,710 $5,397
Net Sales ($MM)$3,525 $3,507 $5,175
Gross Margin %39.6% 39.1% 32.9%
Operating Income ($MM)$166 $98 $126
Operating Margin %4.4% 2.7% 2.3%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.59 $0.20 $0.43
Adjusted Diluted EPS (non-GAAP)N/AN/A$0.95

Notes:

  • Q4 includes ~$76M of impairments/store closing/other costs (closure of 27 stores and one EFC; severance/exit costs; asset impairments; lease gains) .
  • Last year’s Q4 had a 14th week contributing ~$164M net sales; comps compare 13 weeks YoY .

KPIs and Operating Detail

KPIQ4 FY2024YoY / Sequential Color
Comparable Sales-6.7% Lapped 14th week prior year; comps based on 13w vs 13w
Stores Comp-3.1% Improved during quarter; January strongest month
Digital Comp-13.4% Hurt by legacy home and conversion issue (since corrected)
Sephora Beauty Comp+13% Acceleration from Q3; strong fragrance, bath & body, skincare
SG&A ($MM)$1,539 -4.5% YoY; deleveraged 148 bps
Inventory ($MM)$2,945 +2% YoY to rebuild proprietary brands
Operating Cash Flow ($MM)$596 (Q4) $648 for FY2024

Actual vs. Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricActualConsensusBeat/Miss
Revenue ($MM)$5,397 N/AN/A
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.43 N/AN/A
Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP)$0.95 N/AN/A

S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at the time of analysis due to data access limits. Where estimates are absent, please note they were unavailable from S&P Global at the time of writing.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY2025N/A (first issuance)-5% to -7% vs 2024 New
Comparable SalesFY2025N/A-4% to -6% New
Operating MarginFY2025N/A2.2%–2.6% New
Diluted EPS (GAAP)FY2025N/A$0.10–$0.60 New
Capital ExpendituresFY2025N/A$400–$425M New
Other RevenueFY2025N/ADown ~12% (mix shift/AR balances; accounting change) New
SG&A dollarsFY2025N/A-3.5% to -5% YoY New
Dividend (Quarterly)FY2025$0.50 (declared Nov 13, 2024) $0.125 (declared Mar 11, 2025) Lowered
DebtFY2025N/ARefinance July 2025 maturities New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 FY2024)Current Period (Q4 FY2024)Trend
Beauty/SephoraKey growth area; strong performance cited in Q2/Q3 updates Beauty comps +13%; rollout completing in 2025; cross-shopping opportunity Improving
Core Apparel/FootwearSoftness pressured sales in Q3 Rebalancing assortment; rebuild proprietary brands; regain traction in petites, jewelry, legacy home Early improvement, still challenged
Promotions/Value StrategyMargin discipline and promotions referenced generally Simplify offers; reverse coupon exclusions on many brands; focus on price clarity Reset under way
Digital/OmnichannelNoted omnichannel, no specific digital weakness called out in Q2/Q3 PRs Digital comp -13.4% due to legacy home softness and a conversion issue; issue corrected; omni enhancements planned Near-term pressure, fix in progress
Supply ChainInventory reductions (Q2); operational execution Supply chain diversity lauded; opportunity in allocation; restore in-stocks (trip assurance) Stable/positive
Cost StructureExpense management supporting earnings (Q2/Q3) SG&A -3.5% to -5% in FY25; store/EFC closures; marketing efficiency; self-checkout tests Ongoing optimization
Macro/ConsumerChallenging environment noted (Q2) Lower-income consumer constrained; heightened value-seeking behavior Persistent headwind
Capital AllocationDividend maintained at $0.50 in 2024 Dividend cut to $0.125; rebuild cash, reduce revolver reliance; refinance 2025 maturities More conservative

Management Commentary

  • “We need to reprioritize our initiatives… deliver on these key tenants to better serve all of our customers… most of what we need to do is in our control.” – CEO Ashley Buchanan .
  • “Reestablish [Kohl’s] as a leader in quality and value… reverse some of these [coupon] exclusions to simplify the experience.” – CEO Ashley Buchanan .
  • “We experienced underperformance in our digital business… due to an online inventory suppression issue… we have corrected this issue and are seeing improved conversion quarter-to-date.” – CFO Jill Timm .
  • “During the fourth quarter, the company announced the closure of 27 underperforming stores and 1 e-commerce fulfillment center… [resulting in] a onetime charge of $76 million.” – CFO Jill Timm .
  • “In 2025, our focus will be rebuilding our cash balance… addressing our July 2025 maturities… the Board has made the decision to reduce the dividend… to $0.125 per share.” – CFO Jill Timm .

Q&A Highlights

  • Merchandising reset: Management acknowledged self-inflicted friction from prior resets (e.g., removing productive categories/space), with a plan to rebuild proprietary brands and restore lost categories (petites, jewelry) while maintaining growth categories (Sephora, home decor, impulse) .
  • Promotions and coupons: Kohl’s excluded “too many” brands from coupons; management is reversing unilateral exclusions to re-establish value clarity, while seeking more efficient, elastic promotion spend versus register markdowns .
  • Digital/omni: Digital underperformed; inventory suppression issue fixed; omni enhancements and store layout optimization planned to improve conversion and trip assurance .
  • Customer and macro: Lower-income cohorts remain constrained; value focus is elevated and likely persists near term; strategy pivots aim to meet customers where they are .
  • Cost and fleet: Despite closing 27 stores, overall fleet remains profitable; more lease maturities offer flexibility; SG&A leverage targeted via labor, marketing, supply chain and inventory turns .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 FY2024 (revenue/EPS) were unavailable at the time of analysis due to data access limits. Given management’s FY2025 guidance of EPS $0.10–$0.60 and sales declines of 5%–7%, Street models above the high end will need to recalibrate to the guide’s range .
  • Where consensus values are missing in the tables, note they were unavailable from S&P Global at the time of writing.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Cautious FY2025 guide (sales declines, low EPS range) and dividend cut to $0.125 signal a balance-sheet-first posture and a multi-quarter turnaround; potential near-term pressure until assortment, coupon, and digital fixes translate to traffic and conversion .
  • Margin mix: Beauty (Sephora) growth and mix may support margins even in a soft top-line environment, while better promotion efficiency and proprietary brand rebuild could modestly expand gross margin in 2025 (+30–50 bps guided) .
  • Execution watchpoints: Proof points include sustained digital conversion recovery, re-engagement of core customer (petites, jewelry), and measured improvement in legacy home; management is correcting coupon exclusions that frustrated loyalists .
  • Cost discipline: SG&A plans (-3.5% to -5%) and store/EFC rationalization should help protect EBIT despite lower sales; however, lower “other revenue” (credit) is a headwind in 2025 .
  • Liquidity/debt: Focus on rebuilding cash, reducing revolver reliance, and refinancing 2025 maturities reduces risk but limits near-term capital returns (lower dividend; repurchases deferred) .
  • Medium term: If proprietary brands, simplified value messaging, and omni enhancements restore the core customer and improve digital traction, comps can stabilize and margins lift; Sephora rollout completion reduces incremental contribution—growth must come from basket expansion and cross-shopping .
  • Monitor leadership transition: Subsequent to Q4 call, the Board terminated CEO Ashley Buchanan for cause and appointed Michael Bender as Interim CEO; organizational focus remains on simplification and efficiency while the search for a permanent CEO proceeds .